Sha Tin · 2024-11-09
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SPANGLE FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT 1.38.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL Led early CP-/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | VULCANUS Closed strongly Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 8.8 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | NOT A FEW Closed strongly P1/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 6 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TELECOM BULLET SR-/CP1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 113.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | BEAU GOSSE Closed strongly H-/XB/PC1 B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 4 | 9.6 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SMART ZIPANG B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 73.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | FAIRY HORSE B/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | WINNING TURN PC/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 68.0 | 24 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 30.0 | 33-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-09 was Class 5 over 1650m. SPANGLE FORTUNE, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with PRECISION GOAL second and JOYFUL CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite COLOURFUL BARON finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NOT A FEW | 14.3% | 7.00 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON | 13.6% | 7.35 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | VULCANUS | 12.0% | 8.30 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 10.9% | 9.16 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAU GOSSE | 10.6% | 9.48 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL | 9.9% | 10.08 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | FAIRY HORSE | 9.6% | 10.40 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 6.0% | 16.61 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.0% | 20.14 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 4.8% | 20.75 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING TURN | 1.7% | 58.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | TELECOM BULLET | 0.8% | 121.25 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | SMART ZIPANG | 0.7% | 139.34 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 100.5
PLACE
4 32
9 37.5
13 17
QUINELLA
4,9 692.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 158
4,13 107.5
9,13 99.5
FORECAST
4,9 1,374
TIERCE
4,9,13 7,457
TRIO
4,9,13 1,253
FIRST 4
4,5,9,13 646
QUARTET
4,9,13,5 18,112