沙田 · 2024-11-17 · 05:35
第 3場
2024-11-17沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、W K Mo訓練的MEOWTH勝出，贏出2。COLOURFUL WINNER獲得亞軍；MEEPMEEP獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門SUPER LEGENDS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MEOWTH TT1 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 2 | 40.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | MEEPMEEP B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 4.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | ISLAND BREEZES B1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 4.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | VANTASTIC CHOICE P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | BIENVENUE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 97.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 4 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | DAY DAY VICTORY XB- K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 93.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 3 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HEALTHY GOLF CP1/TT1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 6 | 167.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR XB2/TT1 H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 8 | 14.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID B1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 13 | 132.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS | 18.8% | 5.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | ISLAND BREEZES | 18.3% | 5.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 9.4% | 10.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | BIENVENUE | 8.5% | 11.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | MEEPMEEP | 8.3% | 12.07 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID | 7.2% | 13.87 | 14 |
| 7 | 14 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 4.8% | 21.00 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | MEOWTH | 4.3% | 23.30 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 3.6% | 27.91 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.1% | 32.51 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 3.0% | 33.44 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | HEALTHY GOLF | 2.5% | 40.16 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH | 1.5% | 64.58 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 400
PLACE
3 22.5
9 98.5
12 16
QUINELLA
3,9 1,370
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 446
3,12 65
9,12 288
FORECAST
9,3 3,326
TIERCE
9,3,12 20,724
TRIO
3,9,12 1,861
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 1,705
QUARTET
9,3,12,7 81,346
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/3,9,12 70,359
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 100.5
3/9 4,708.5