沙田 · 2024-11-17 · 09:55
第 11場
2024-11-17沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的YOUNG SUPERSTAR勝出，贏出1/2。VICTORY SKY獲得亞軍；LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門PACKING POWER跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT 1.08.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | VICTORY SKY XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | PATCH OF COSMO B L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | THUNDER PRINCE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 111.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | CASA ROCHESTER H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 76.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 203.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | PACKING POWER TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 1.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | THESIS TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | PRESS LINK B1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 61.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 6 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | DIVANO TT J McDonald · K W Lui | J McDonald | K W Lui | 2 | 3.3 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER H/SR/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 190.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPER INFINITY H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 33.5% | 2.99 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | DIVANO | 18.4% | 5.42 | 13 |
| 3 | 9 | PATCH OF COSMO | 11.5% | 8.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 9.8% | 10.20 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | THESIS | 5.9% | 17.07 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 4.6% | 21.87 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 3.6% | 27.75 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | CASA ROCHESTER | 3.6% | 28.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | VICTORY SKY | 2.4% | 41.23 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | PRESS LINK | 2.2% | 45.24 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 1.4% | 69.01 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | THUNDER PRINCE | 1.4% | 70.09 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 1.1% | 89.27 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | POSITIVE SMILE | 0.5% | 196.01 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 179.5
PLACE
6 34
13 43
14 33.5
QUINELLA
6,13 1,353
QUINELLA PLACE
6,13 309.5
6,14 235.5
13,14 225.5
FORECAST
6,13 3,164
TIERCE
6,13,14 24,620
TRIO
6,13,14 4,050
FIRST 4
6,9,13,14 5,696
QUARTET
6,13,14,9 143,013
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
9/6 15,792.5
9/13 2,525.5
2ND TREBLE
1/9/6 13,835
1/9/13 2,456
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/6,13,14 2,989,474
SIX UP
6/4/1/1/9/6 1,016,432
6,10/4,7/1,9/1,7/3,9/6,13 14,198
2 [Z Purton] —
3 [P C Ng] —