沙田 · 2024-11-17 · 07:35
第 7場
2024-11-17沙田第7場，Group 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出3-1/4。HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得亞軍；HELIOS EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING 1.07.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 1.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 5 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 128.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 103.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER CP1/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 169.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 256.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 113.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 89.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING | 61.2% | 1.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 7.4% | 13.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | MUGEN | 6.1% | 16.46 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 5.4% | 18.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES | 3.3% | 30.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.0% | 50.85 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.5% | 66.17 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ACE | 1.5% | 68.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 1.4% | 70.83 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 1.2% | 84.94 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 0.7% | 136.42 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 11.5
PLACE
4 10.1
7 40.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
4,7 95
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 41
4,9 19.5
7,9 144.5
FORECAST
4,7 150
TIERCE
4,7,9 509
TRIO
4,7,9 166
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 186
QUARTET
4,7,9,10 1,724
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,13/4,7,9 5,301
6TH DOUBLE
6/4 82.5
6/7 304.5
TRIPLE TRIO
7,9,13/6,10,13/4,7,9 656,480
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,9,13/6,10,13/Any Combination 11,821