Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 07:35
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Group 2 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3-1/4, with HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE second and HELIOS EXPRESS third. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING 1.07.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 1.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 5 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 128.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 103.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER CP1/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 169.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 256.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 113.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 89.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING | 61.2% | 1.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 7.4% | 13.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | MUGEN | 6.1% | 16.46 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 5.4% | 18.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES | 3.3% | 30.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.0% | 50.85 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.5% | 66.17 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | FLYING ACE | 1.5% | 68.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 1.4% | 70.83 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 1.2% | 84.94 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 0.7% | 136.42 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 11.5
PLACE
4 10.1
7 40.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
4,7 95
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 41
4,9 19.5
7,9 144.5
FORECAST
4,7 150
TIERCE
4,7,9 509
TRIO
4,7,9 166
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 186
QUARTET
4,7,9,10 1,724
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,13/4,7,9 5,301
6TH DOUBLE
6/4 82.5
6/7 304.5
TRIPLE TRIO
7,9,13/6,10,13/4,7,9 656,480
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,9,13/6,10,13/Any Combination 11,821