Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MARKWIN Closed strongly TT 1.21.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY PARK Led early XB- A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | AMAZING RUN Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SILVER UP Closed strongly B-/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VIEW OF THE WORLD Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | PEARL OF PANG'S M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 13 | 66.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 71.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 116.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME Closed strongly M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 7.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly B-/V1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 14 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | KING OBERON Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 88.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | SANTORINI CP- C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 5 | 63.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SPONGE BABE H Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 291.0 | 20-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Class 4 over 1400m. MARKWIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 2, with HAPPY PARK second and AMAZING RUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MARKWIN | 32.1% | 3.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 15.0% | 6.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 11.9% | 8.43 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING RUN | 7.6% | 13.17 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SILVER UP | 7.1% | 14.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY PARK | 4.0% | 24.97 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SANTORINI | 3.9% | 25.77 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | KING OBERON | 3.9% | 25.89 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 3.8% | 26.06 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 3.0% | 33.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.9% | 34.45 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 2.4% | 42.08 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 1.7% | 58.88 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | SPONGE BABE | 0.8% | 130.68 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 20
PLACE
5 11
7 21.5
8 33
QUINELLA
5,8 113
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 32.5
5,8 48.5
7,8 120.5
FORECAST
5,8 186
TIERCE
5,8,7 1,011
TRIO
5,7,8 253
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 447
QUARTET
5,8,7,2 6,720
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
9/5 956
9/8 766.5