Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 16:08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.32.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly V-/XB/B2 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 1.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 49.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 8 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | TAJ DRAGON B- A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 88.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Led early Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Group 2 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with CHANCHENG GLORY second and GALAXY PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite GALAXY PATCH finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH | 51.4% | 1.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 13.1% | 7.64 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 11.0% | 9.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 7.5% | 13.41 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | RED LION | 5.2% | 19.10 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 3.3% | 29.87 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.0% | 32.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | TAJ DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 2.4% | 41.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 35.5
PLACE
1 12.5
5 10.5
9 23
QUINELLA
1,9 247
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 16.5
1,9 54
5,9 32.5
FORECAST
1,9 434
TIERCE
1,9,5 907
TRIO
1,5,9 65
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 393
QUARTET
1,9,5,6 15,231
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 54.5
4/9 39