Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 16:43
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.59.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 1.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | KA YING GENERATION PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 4 | 68.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ENSUED Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 137.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SWORD POINT Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 57.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 7 | 76.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 84.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Group 2 over 2000m. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by 4-1/4, with KA YING GENERATION second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 51.1% | 1.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ENSUED | 9.6% | 10.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | AWESOME FLUKE | 5.9% | 17.08 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED | 5.8% | 17.10 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | SWORD POINT | 5.3% | 18.84 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 4.9% | 20.35 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.55 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | KA YING GENERATION | 4.7% | 21.40 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | FIVE G PATCH | 3.3% | 30.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.8% | 35.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER | 1.8% | 56.04 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 11
PLACE
1 10.1
2 53.5
7 38
QUINELLA
1,7 97
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 76.5
1,7 45.5
2,7 538.5
FORECAST
1,7 94
TIERCE
1,7,2 1,113
TRIO
1,2,7 549
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 463
QUARTET
1,7,2,8 4,875
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/1,2,7 3,358
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 58.5
1/7 176.5