Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 13:02
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON Closed strongly TT 1.21.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | WIN SPEED Closed strongly B M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 2.2 | N |
| 3 | 2 | BALLISTIC WIN Closed strongly CP1/H1 J McDonald · T P Yung | J McDonald | T P Yung | 5 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 10 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly CP-/B1 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 83.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | UNISON Led early CP-/XB/B1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 63.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | MARIO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 67.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 79.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CONCORDE STAR Closed strongly B1/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 14 | 123.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | ALL EYES ON ME M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 156.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 4 | GREENWICH TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Class 4 over 1400m. SUPER LOVE DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by N, with WIN SPEED second and BALLISTIC WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite WIN SPEED finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BALLISTIC WIN | 17.5% | 5.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 16.6% | 6.04 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | WIN SPEED | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 12.5% | 8.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.9% | 20.58 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | GREENWICH | 4.7% | 21.27 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | UNISON | 4.7% | 21.39 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | CONCORDE STAR | 2.5% | 40.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.4% | 41.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 2.3% | 44.09 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | LUCKY GOLD | 1.9% | 52.11 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.9% | 53.81 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | MARIO | 1.6% | 63.56 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 160.5
PLACE
2 17
3 39.5
10 11.5
QUINELLA
3,10 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 81.5
2,10 27.5
3,10 72.5
FORECAST
3,10 552
TIERCE
3,10,2 1,718
TRIO
2,3,10 185
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 832
QUARTET
3,10,2,1 23,700
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 721
3/10 43.5