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Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 06:35

Race 5

Class 3 1000m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Class 3 over 1000m. FAST NETWORK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 4-1/2, with HEROIC MASTER second and SUPER FORTUNE third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.55.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 FAST NETWORK B1/TT 0.55.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 13 1.8 4-1/2
2 9 HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 2 34.0 4-1/2
3 13 SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 5 22.0 5
4 1 FLYING HIGH TT C L Chau · W Y So 14 11.0 5-1/2
5 12 POLARIS B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 4 146.0 5-3/4
6 2 CARROLL STREET B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte 1 45.0 6-1/2
7 10 DASHING DRAGON B Thompson · D A Hayes 11 195.0 7-1/4
8 11 KING PROFIT TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 3 126.0 7-1/2
9 5 STELLAR EXPRESS J McDonald · J Size 8 4.5 7-1/2
10 8 MIDORI GLORY B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 12 10.0 10-1/4
11 3 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H-/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 10 55.0 10-1/4
12 4 ALPHA ONE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 6 12.0 10-1/2
13 6 CANDLELIGHT DINNER B/H1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 9 31.0 13-3/4
14 14 MEGA BONUS V H T Mo · P F Yiu 7 138.0 19
0 BABY CRYSTAL · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAST NETWORK2. HEROIC MASTER+4.5L3. SUPER FORTUNE+5L4. FLYING HIGH+5.5L5. POLARIS+5.75L6. CARROLL STREET+6.5L7. DASHING DRAGON+7.25L8. KING PROFIT+7.5L9. STELLAR EXPRESS+7.5L10. MIDORI GLORY+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAST NETWORK (50.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FAST NETWORK 50.7% 1.97 1
2 5 STELLAR EXPRESS 14.3% 6.99 9
3 8 MIDORI GLORY 5.6% 17.81 10
4 3 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 5.0% 20.06 11
5 4 ALPHA ONE 4.5% 22.40 12
6 13 SUPER FORTUNE 3.6% 27.67 3
7 2 CARROLL STREET 3.1% 31.84 6
8 1 FLYING HIGH 3.0% 33.01 4
9 9 HEROIC MASTER 3.0% 33.60 2
10 12 POLARIS 2.0% 51.06 5
11 6 CANDLELIGHT DINNER 1.9% 52.46 13
12 11 KING PROFIT 1.1% 87.20 8
13 10 DASHING DRAGON 1.1% 89.57 7
14 14 MEGA BONUS 1.1% 91.01 14
FAST NETWORK — wonSTELLAR EXPRESSMIDORI GLORYYOUTHFUL SPIRITSALPHA ONESUPER FORTUNECARROLL STREETFLYING HIGHHEROIC MASTERPOLARISCANDLELIGHT DINNERKING PROFITDASHING DRAGONMEGA BONUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 18

PLACE

7 11.5

9 67.5

13 40.5

QUINELLA

7,9 231

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 80

7,13 60.5

9,13 496.5

FORECAST

7,9 385

TIERCE

7,9,13 3,655

TRIO

7,9,13 1,353

FIRST 4

1,7,9,13 2,605

QUARTET

7,9,13,1 33,627

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

9/5/7 1,844

9/5/9 5,036

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,8/7,9,13 40,364

4TH DOUBLE

5/7 44

5/9 186.5