沙田 · 2024-11-17 · 06:35
第 5場
2024-11-17沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的FAST NETWORK勝出，贏出4-1/2。HEROIC MASTER獲得亞軍；SUPER FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FAST NETWORK B1/TT 0.55.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 1.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 2 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 14 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | POLARIS B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 146.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CARROLL STREET B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 1 | 45.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | DASHING DRAGON B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 195.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | KING PROFIT TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 3 | 126.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 8 | 4.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | MIDORI GLORY B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H-/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 55.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | ALPHA ONE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER B/H1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 31.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MEGA BONUS V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 7 | 138.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | BABY CRYSTAL · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FAST NETWORK | 50.7% | 1.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 14.3% | 6.99 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | MIDORI GLORY | 5.6% | 17.81 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 5.0% | 20.06 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | ALPHA ONE | 4.5% | 22.40 | 12 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE | 3.6% | 27.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | CARROLL STREET | 3.1% | 31.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 3.0% | 33.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | HEROIC MASTER | 3.0% | 33.60 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | POLARIS | 2.0% | 51.06 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 1.9% | 52.46 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | KING PROFIT | 1.1% | 87.20 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING DRAGON | 1.1% | 89.57 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | MEGA BONUS | 1.1% | 91.01 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 18
PLACE
7 11.5
9 67.5
13 40.5
QUINELLA
7,9 231
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 80
7,13 60.5
9,13 496.5
FORECAST
7,9 385
TIERCE
7,9,13 3,655
TRIO
7,9,13 1,353
FIRST 4
1,7,9,13 2,605
QUARTET
7,9,13,1 33,627
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/5/7 1,844
9/5/9 5,036
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/7,9,13 40,364
4TH DOUBLE
5/7 44
5/9 186.5