Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 17:19
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly TT1 1.21.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 70.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 9.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | KING MILES Led early C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND Closed strongly CP/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 10 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | GIDDY UP Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | THUNDER BLINK H1/TT1 C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 9 | 113.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TALE OF PERTH Closed strongly B M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 12 | 207.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly V/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 13 | 210.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FIND MY LOVE CP/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 66.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Class 3 over 1400m. SILVERY BREEZE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and JOHANNES BRAHMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MASTER MASTERMIND finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 20.2% | 4.94 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 12.9% | 7.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 12.4% | 8.08 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 9.3% | 10.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | KING MILES | 8.5% | 11.71 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | SILVERY BREEZE | 6.5% | 15.46 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 5.2% | 19.26 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | THUNDER BLINK | 3.9% | 25.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | GIDDY UP | 3.8% | 26.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | FIND MY LOVE | 3.5% | 28.82 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASTIC FUN | 2.5% | 40.35 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 1.5% | 67.76 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | TALE OF PERTH | 1.3% | 74.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 708.5
PLACE
1 29.5
3 37
9 136
QUINELLA
3,9 4,077.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 213.5
1,9 707.5
3,9 898.5
FORECAST
9,3 9,212
TIERCE
9,3,1 72,832
TRIO
1,3,9 5,302
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 9,408
QUARTET
9,3,1,2 452,325
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
1/3 32
1/9 598