Sha Tin · 2024-11-17 · 15:01
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly 2.01.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 9 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 10 | FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 12 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 13 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 13 | 89.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPREME AGILITY B-/SR/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EIGHTEEN CARAT B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SO WE SING Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 4 | 79.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | SIMPLE HEDGE E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FORTUNATE SON XB1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 10 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | NATURAL STORM V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 78.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE Led early B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 67.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-17 was Class 3 over 2000m. BRAVEHEARTS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with FAMILY JEWEL second and SUNSTRIDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite FAMILY JEWEL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FAMILY JEWEL | 31.2% | 3.20 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 10.2% | 9.76 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SUPREME AGILITY | 9.7% | 10.28 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | SUNSTRIDER | 8.0% | 12.55 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 7.5% | 13.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS | 7.2% | 13.86 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | FORTUNATE SON | 6.9% | 14.52 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | AESTHETICISM | 3.3% | 29.98 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.2% | 45.82 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE | 1.9% | 52.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | NATURAL STORM | 1.4% | 73.48 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | SO WE SING | 0.7% | 150.87 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 53
PLACE
6 18
10 17.5
13 28
QUINELLA
6,10 99
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 37
6,13 92
10,13 67.5
FORECAST
6,10 225
TIERCE
6,10,13 1,517
TRIO
6,10,13 309
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 3,682
QUARTET
6,10,13,11 53,281
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
7/6 139.5
7/10 19