跑馬地 · 2024-12-26 · 10:45
第 4場
2024-12-26跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的NORTHERN FIRE BALL勝出，贏出1-3/4。CRYSTAL POWERFUL獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT PEERS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS CP/H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | TELECOM POWER B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 50.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | MEEPMEEP B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 9 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 10 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | MR VALIANT B/TT1 A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 7 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 30.6% | 3.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | TELECOM POWER | 18.8% | 5.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 12.3% | 8.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 11.3% | 8.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 5.5% | 18.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR | 4.6% | 21.65 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON | 4.5% | 22.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | MR VALIANT | 3.5% | 28.81 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 3.3% | 29.92 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 2.4% | 41.39 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.3% | 43.84 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 1.0% | 103.77 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 24
PLACE
4 25
5 13.5
12 65.5
QUINELLA
5,12 305
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 40.5
4,12 322.5
5,12 117
FORECAST
5,12 433
TIERCE
5,12,4 3,129
TRIO
4,5,12 875
FIRST 4
4,5,9,12 777
QUARTET
5,12,4,9 11,979
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/4,5,12 46,551
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 145.5
5/12 340.5