跑馬地 · 2024-12-26 · 10:50
第 8場
2024-12-26跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1650米。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的THE AZURE勝出，贏出SH。HIGHLAND RAHY獲得亞軍；HARMONY GALAXY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE AZURE 後段發力 1.39.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.1 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP-/B1/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 5.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY 後段發力 TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 48.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHARMING STEED 早段領放 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD 後段發力 CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUTH POWER B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GALE SAGA B A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 4 | 120.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUTH POWER | 22.4% | 4.46 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | THE AZURE | 17.7% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | GOOD GOOD | 11.4% | 8.74 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI | 9.9% | 10.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 8.9% | 11.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH | 8.5% | 11.71 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | GALE SAGA | 5.0% | 19.95 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | CHARMING STEED | 4.9% | 20.43 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.7% | 26.81 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD | 3.4% | 29.48 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 3.1% | 32.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 1.0% | 104.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 41.5
PLACE
1 119
4 24
8 16.5
QUINELLA
4,8 153
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 375.5
1,8 341
4,8 58.5
FORECAST
8,4 271
TIERCE
8,4,1 9,794
TRIO
1,4,8 1,855
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 2,260
QUARTET
8,4,1,2 52,032
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/1,4,8 84,993
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 78
6/8 363