跑馬地 · 2024-12-26 · 10:50
第 10場
2024-12-26跑馬地第10場，Class 3，途程1650米。由C L Chau策騎、W K Mo訓練的ROMANTIC LAOS勝出，贏出1-1/2。BEATO獲得亞軍；SOLEIL FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門SOLEIL FIGHTER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 CP/TT 1.39.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | BEATO 後段發力 V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 31.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR 早段領放 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | M UNICORN 後段發力 H-/P/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | DEFINITIVE CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 92.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 9 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | HAMERON A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 10 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 18.8% | 5.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 15.0% | 6.68 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | M UNICORN | 10.9% | 9.19 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | AESTHETICISM | 7.6% | 13.22 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 7.5% | 13.42 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | HAMERON | 7.0% | 14.32 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | BEATO | 6.1% | 16.35 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 6.0% | 16.79 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 4.1% | 24.27 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 2.6% | 38.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | DEFINITIVE | 2.1% | 46.55 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 132
PLACE
4 34.5
5 16
10 75.5
QUINELLA
4,10 1,322.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 79.5
4,10 369.5
5,10 193.5
FORECAST
4,10 2,683
TIERCE
4,10,5 20,071
TRIO
4,5,10 2,140
FIRST 4
4,5,7,10 2,208
QUARTET
4,10,5,7 75,185
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/4/4 1,906
8/4/10 1,136
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/4,5,10 51,793
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 534
4/10 236
SIX UP
1,10/3,12/6,9/4,8/4,7/4,10 13,694
10/3/6/8/4/4 760,204
1 [Z Purton] —
4 [C H Yip] —