跑馬地 · 2024-12-26 · 10:50
第 5場
2024-12-26跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米。由A Badel策騎、J Richards訓練的TO INFINITY勝出，贏出N。RED MAJESTY獲得亞軍；VIVA GRACIOUSNESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門CLASSIC CENTURY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TO INFINITY 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 19.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | RED MAJESTY 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | TRADITION 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | CLASSIC CENTURY B1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SILVER KING 後段發力 H/P/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | DEVILDOM B- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | WINDICATOR FAMILY B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 5.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO V/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY AGAIN B A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 11 | 59.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 29.1% | 3.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | CLASSIC CENTURY | 19.2% | 5.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | RED MAJESTY | 9.6% | 10.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.1% | 12.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | HANDSOME BOMB | 6.7% | 15.01 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | TRADITION | 6.1% | 16.40 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO | 4.4% | 22.73 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | SILVER KING | 4.2% | 23.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 3.9% | 25.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 3.3% | 30.53 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | DEVILDOM | 3.2% | 31.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY AGAIN | 2.2% | 44.91 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 198.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 16.5
10 46
QUINELLA
1,10 499
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50
1,10 147.5
2,10 137.5
FORECAST
10,1 1,035
TIERCE
10,1,2 5,746
TRIO
1,2,10 675
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 2,325
QUARTET
10,1,2,11 74,999
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/5/1 112
5/5/10 1,827
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 30.5
5/10 615.5