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Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 18:48

Race 5

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards 9 19.0 N
2 1 RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 8 5.8 N
3 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 4.3 1-3/4
4 11 TRADITION Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 6 25.0 2
5 6 CLASSIC CENTURY B1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 4 3.7 2-1/4
6 3 HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So 2 24.0 2-3/4
7 4 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB Z Purton · K L Man 10 12.0 3-3/4
8 5 SILVER KING Closed strongly H/P/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 12 22.0 4
9 7 DEVILDOM B- M L Yeung · T P Yung 3 30.0 4-1/2
10 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY B M F Poon · D J Hall 7 5.4 6-1/2
11 9 HAPPY TRIO V/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 20.0 7-3/4
12 8 HAPPY AGAIN B A Atzeni · W K Mo 11 59.0 20-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. TO INFINITY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won by N, with RED MAJESTY second and VIVA GRACIOUSNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite CLASSIC CENTURY finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TO INFINITY—2. RED MAJESTY+0.05L3. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS+1.75L4. TRADITION+2L5. CLASSIC CENTURY+2.25L6. HANDSOME BOMB+2.75L7. TURIN WARRIOR+3.75L8. SILVER KING+4L9. DEVILDOM+4.5L10. WINDICATOR FAMILY+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick VIVA GRACIOUSNESS (29.1%) finished 3rd — the winner TO INFINITY was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 29.1% 3.43 3
2 6 CLASSIC CENTURY 19.2% 5.20 5
3 1 RED MAJESTY 9.6% 10.42 2
4 4 TURIN WARRIOR 8.1% 12.33 7
5 3 HANDSOME BOMB 6.7% 15.01 6
6 11 TRADITION 6.1% 16.40 4
7 9 HAPPY TRIO 4.4% 22.73 11
8 5 SILVER KING 4.2% 23.79 8
9 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY 3.9% 25.95 10
10 10 TO INFINITY 3.3% 30.53 1
11 7 DEVILDOM 3.2% 31.31 9
12 8 HAPPY AGAIN 2.2% 44.91 12
VIVA GRACIOUSNESSCLASSIC CENTURYRED MAJESTYTURIN WARRIORHANDSOME BOMBTRADITIONHAPPY TRIOSILVER KINGWINDICATOR FAMILYTO INFINITY — wonDEVILDOMHAPPY AGAIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 198.5

PLACE

1 17.5

2 16.5

10 46

QUINELLA

1,10 499

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 50

1,10 147.5

2,10 137.5

FORECAST

10,1 1,035

TIERCE

10,1,2 5,746

TRIO

1,2,10 675

FIRST 4

1,2,10,11 2,325

QUARTET

10,1,2,11 74,999

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

5/5/1 112

5/5/10 1,827

4TH DOUBLE

5/1 30.5

5/10 615.5