Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 18:49
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE AZURE Closed strongly 1.39.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.1 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP-/B1/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 5.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 48.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHARMING STEED Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUTH POWER B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GALE SAGA B A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 4 | 120.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. THE AZURE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with HIGHLAND RAHY second and HARMONY GALAXY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUTH POWER | 22.4% | 4.46 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | THE AZURE | 17.7% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | GOOD GOOD | 11.4% | 8.74 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLDEN DARCI | 9.9% | 10.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 8.9% | 11.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH | 8.5% | 11.71 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | GALE SAGA | 5.0% | 19.95 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | CHARMING STEED | 4.9% | 20.43 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.7% | 26.81 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD | 3.4% | 29.48 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 3.1% | 32.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 1.0% | 104.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 41.5
PLACE
1 119
4 24
8 16.5
QUINELLA
4,8 153
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 375.5
1,8 341
4,8 58.5
FORECAST
8,4 271
TIERCE
8,4,1 9,794
TRIO
1,4,8 1,855
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 2,260
QUARTET
8,4,1,2 52,032
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/1,4,8 84,993
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 78
6/8 363