Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 10:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. EMBRACES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won by 2, with WAH MAY WAI WAI second and TAKE ACTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite TAKE ACTION finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT 1.39.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 5 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CORLEONE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BIG RED E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY B/TT1 A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 7 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART CITY CP/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 69.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 38.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMART CITY | 21.2% | 4.72 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | CORLEONE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE ACTION | 14.5% | 6.90 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.7% | 11.49 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | EMBRACES | 8.1% | 12.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.00 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | BIG RED | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 6.7% | 14.91 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY | 4.7% | 21.17 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.4% | 29.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 2.0% | 50.06 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 1.3% | 79.95 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 64
PLACE
6 21.5
9 48
10 13
QUINELLA
6,9 636.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 173.5
6,10 40
9,10 99.5
FORECAST
6,9 1,020
TIERCE
6,9,10 3,128
TRIO
6,9,10 573
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 435
QUARTET
6,9,10,5 13,877
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/6 128
3/9 68