Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 18:49
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT 1.39.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 5 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CORLEONE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BIG RED E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY B/TT1 A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 7 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART CITY CP/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 69.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 38.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. EMBRACES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won by 2, with WAH MAY WAI WAI second and TAKE ACTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite TAKE ACTION finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMART CITY | 21.2% | 4.72 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | CORLEONE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE ACTION | 14.5% | 6.90 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.7% | 11.49 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | EMBRACES | 8.1% | 12.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.00 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | BIG RED | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 6.7% | 14.91 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY | 4.7% | 21.17 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.4% | 29.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 2.0% | 50.06 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 1.3% | 79.95 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 64
PLACE
6 21.5
9 48
10 13
QUINELLA
6,9 636.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 173.5
6,10 40
9,10 99.5
FORECAST
6,9 1,020
TIERCE
6,9,10 3,128
TRIO
6,9,10 573
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 435
QUARTET
6,9,10,5 13,877
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/6 128
3/9 68