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Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 10:50

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1200m. VIEW OF THE WORLD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-1/4, with GLORY B second and SWEET DIAMOND third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.10.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 VIEW OF THE WORLD TT 1.10.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 1 1.8 2-1/4
2 12 GLORY B H-/CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 18.0 2-1/4
3 9 SWEET DIAMOND TT B Thompson · P F Yiu 2 20.0 3-1/4
4 8 LUCKY GENERATIONS H/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 5 16.0 3-3/4
5 10 GIMME FIVE B A Pouchin · F C Lor 4 7.1 3-3/4
6 4 TOP TIME K De Melo · W Y So 9 8.3 4
7 7 ZETTA FORCE B C L Chau · T P Yung 6 12.0 4
8 6 STORM RUNNER B M F Poon · P C Ng 3 46.0 4-1/4
9 5 EXUBERANT B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 11 39.0 4-1/2
10 11 TOGEPI B/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 12 69.0 5-3/4
11 2 HAPPY DAY V-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 10 44.0 5-3/4
12 1 SKY FOREVER B/TT H Bowman · K L Man 7 13.0 12-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIEW OF THE WORLD2. GLORY B+2.25L3. SWEET DIAMOND+3.25L4. LUCKY GENERATIONS+3.75L5. GIMME FIVE+3.75L6. TOP TIME+4L7. ZETTA FORCE+4L8. STORM RUNNER+4.25L9. EXUBERANT+4.5L10. TOGEPI+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick VIEW OF THE WORLD (44.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 VIEW OF THE WORLD 44.0% 2.27 1
2 10 GIMME FIVE 15.3% 6.52 5
3 4 TOP TIME 6.8% 14.67 6
4 8 LUCKY GENERATIONS 6.6% 15.14 4
5 7 ZETTA FORCE 4.9% 20.35 7
6 1 SKY FOREVER 4.5% 22.16 12
7 2 HAPPY DAY 3.9% 25.55 11
8 6 STORM RUNNER 3.2% 30.82 8
9 5 EXUBERANT 3.1% 31.86 9
10 12 GLORY B 2.9% 34.65 2
11 9 SWEET DIAMOND 2.4% 41.61 3
12 11 TOGEPI 2.2% 44.46 10
VIEW OF THE WORLD — wonGIMME FIVETOP TIMELUCKY GENERATIONSZETTA FORCESKY FOREVERHAPPY DAYSTORM RUNNEREXUBERANTGLORY BSWEET DIAMONDTOGEPI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 18.5

PLACE

3 10.5

9 49

12 48

QUINELLA

3,12 162

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 70.5

3,12 63.5

9,12 404.5

FORECAST

3,12 254

TIERCE

3,12,9 3,187

TRIO

3,9,12 869

FIRST 4

3,8,9,12 2,454

QUARTET

3,12,9,8 33,690

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/3,9,12 66,502

5TH DOUBLE

10/3 612.5

10/12 479

TRIPLE TRIO

4,5,12/1,2,10/3,9,12 7,480,213

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,12/1,2,10/Any Combination 5,015