Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 18:49
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly TT1 2.15.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 7.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | STELLAR GRANDE CP1/XB1/TT1 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | FRANTANCK Led early TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 4 | 9.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 4 | SO WE SING B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 3 over 2200m. NOISY BOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1, with SHARPEN BRIGHT second and SIMPLE HEDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE | 26.2% | 3.82 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 22.9% | 4.36 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | NOISY BOY | 16.5% | 6.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 10.1% | 9.92 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | WINNING STEPS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 4.9% | 20.60 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | FRANTANCK | 4.5% | 22.25 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | STELLAR GRANDE | 3.7% | 26.82 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | NATURAL STORM | 2.9% | 33.99 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32.5
PLACE
5 14.5
8 16.5
9 45
QUINELLA
5,8 102
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 41.5
5,9 139.5
8,9 163.5
FORECAST
5,8 182
TIERCE
5,8,9 2,832
TRIO
5,8,9 687
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 1,691
QUARTET
5,8,9,1 19,232
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 1,054
3/8 130