Happy Valley · 2024-12-26 · 10:45
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-12-26 was Class 4 over 1000m. KING ECCELLENTE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SUPER SIXTY second and CLUB ACE third. The 2.4 favourite KA YING RESILIENCE finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB 0.57.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER SIXTY H/P A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | CLUB ACE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 113.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | BITS SUPERSTAR PC L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 11 | 98.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | WISDOM STAR B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 5 | 86.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | LEAN MASTER B/TT A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 4 | 5.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CHILL MASTER TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 89.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | KA YING RESILIENCE CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.4 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 45.0% | 2.22 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE | 16.4% | 6.09 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | CLUB ACE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | LEAN MASTER | 7.1% | 14.03 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.5% | 22.27 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER SIXTY | 4.3% | 23.08 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.0% | 24.76 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 2.2% | 44.60 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 2.2% | 46.15 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | CHILL MASTER | 2.1% | 47.20 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 1.9% | 53.14 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | WISDOM STAR | 1.3% | 76.10 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 170
PLACE
3 36.5
7 33
12 32
QUINELLA
3,12 941
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 192
3,12 217
7,12 236
FORECAST
3,12 2,007
TIERCE
3,12,7 14,962
TRIO
3,7,12 3,137
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 30,232
QUARTET
3,12,7,2 401,659
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 1,054
5/12 175
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/3,7,12 620,757