沙田 · 2025-01-05 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-01-05沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CIRCUIT JOLLY勝出，贏出1/2。ENJOY GOLF獲得亞軍；ALLURING LAOS獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門ENJOY GOLF跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CIRCUIT JOLLY B 0.56.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | ENJOY GOLF B1 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ALLURING LAOS TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER P-/B1 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 168.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | CLUB ACE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SONIC PURSUIT TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 8 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 135.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SUNNY Q K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | AMAZING GALAXY L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MULTISUPER P-/B2/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SHINY RAPIDASH B-/V1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 11.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | DO YOUR PART H-/TT1 A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 3 | 70.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTY FORMULA TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 90.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ALLURING LAOS | 19.6% | 5.11 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | CLUB ACE | 11.6% | 8.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 10.9% | 9.20 | 14 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FORMULA | 6.2% | 16.23 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | ENJOY GOLF | 5.8% | 17.13 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | AMAZING GALAXY | 3.8% | 26.28 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | MULTISUPER | 3.5% | 28.80 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY Q | 2.8% | 35.94 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SONIC PURSUIT | 2.7% | 36.68 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | SHINY RAPIDASH | 2.5% | 40.52 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | DO YOUR PART | 2.2% | 46.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.1% | 88.21 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER | 0.7% | 142.39 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 36.5
PLACE
2 19
5 12.5
6 16.5
QUINELLA
5,6 67
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 40.5
2,6 35
5,6 29
FORECAST
6,5 148
TIERCE
6,5,2 477
TRIO
2,5,6 106
FIRST 4
2,5,6,13 3,299
QUARTET
6,5,2,13 27,701
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 32
1/6 103.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,7/2,5,6 3,642