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Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 05:35

Race 2

Class 4 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 4 over 1000m. CIRCUIT JOLLY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with ENJOY GOLF second and ALLURING LAOS third. The 3.0 favourite ENJOY GOLF finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.56.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 CIRCUIT JOLLY B 0.56.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 3.6 1/2
2 5 ENJOY GOLF B1 H Bowman · F C Lor 10 3.0 1/2
3 2 ALLURING LAOS TT K C Leung · W K Mo 6 5.8 2-1/4
4 13 MACANESE MASTER P-/B1 Y L Chung · C H Yip 5 168.0 4-1/2
5 9 CLUB ACE B Avdulla · J Size 4 12.0 4-1/2
6 12 SONIC PURSUIT TT C Y Ho · J Richards 8 34.0 5-3/4
7 14 BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 14 135.0 6-1/4
8 10 SUNNY Q K De Melo · W Y So 9 41.0 6-1/2
9 7 AMAZING GALAXY L Ferraris · K H Ting 11 17.0 6-3/4
10 3 MULTISUPER P-/B2/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 12 17.0 7-3/4
11 11 SHINY RAPIDASH B-/V1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng 13 11.0 8-3/4
12 4 DO YOUR PART H-/TT1 A Pouchin · K W Lui 3 70.0 9-1/2
13 8 BEAUTY FORMULA TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz 2 90.0 13
14 1 SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT P N Wong · D J Hall 1 15.0 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT JOLLY2. ENJOY GOLF+0.5L3. ALLURING LAOS+2.25L4. MACANESE MASTER+4.5L5. CLUB ACE+4.5L6. SONIC PURSUIT+5.75L7. BRAVE OF FRIENDS+6.25L8. SUNNY Q+6.5L9. AMAZING GALAXY+6.75L10. MULTISUPER+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CIRCUIT JOLLY (26.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 CIRCUIT JOLLY 26.7% 3.74 1
2 2 ALLURING LAOS 19.6% 5.11 3
3 9 CLUB ACE 11.6% 8.63 5
4 1 SUMMIT CHEERS 10.9% 9.20 14
5 8 BEAUTY FORMULA 6.2% 16.23 13
6 5 ENJOY GOLF 5.8% 17.13 2
7 7 AMAZING GALAXY 3.8% 26.28 9
8 3 MULTISUPER 3.5% 28.80 10
9 10 SUNNY Q 2.8% 35.94 8
10 12 SONIC PURSUIT 2.7% 36.68 6
11 11 SHINY RAPIDASH 2.5% 40.52 11
12 4 DO YOUR PART 2.2% 46.35 12
13 14 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 1.1% 88.21 7
14 13 MACANESE MASTER 0.7% 142.39 4
CIRCUIT JOLLY — wonALLURING LAOSCLUB ACESUMMIT CHEERSBEAUTY FORMULAENJOY GOLFAMAZING GALAXYMULTISUPERSUNNY QSONIC PURSUITSHINY RAPIDASHDO YOUR PARTBRAVE OF FRIENDSMACANESE MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 36.5

PLACE

2 19

5 12.5

6 16.5

QUINELLA

5,6 67

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 40.5

2,6 35

5,6 29

FORECAST

6,5 148

TIERCE

6,5,2 477

TRIO

2,5,6 106

FIRST 4

2,5,6,13 3,299

QUARTET

6,5,2,13 27,701

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/5 32

1/6 103.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,7/2,5,6 3,642