Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 09:50
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 3 over 1400m. PACKING ANGEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and BUNDLE AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly TT 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 11 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | CHARMING BABE H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 134.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | BUCEPHALAS Led early H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 130.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | EQUATORIAL Closed strongly H/SR/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 144.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SILO Closed strongly CP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 12 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PATCH OF COSMO B L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 10 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 14 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 64.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PACKING ANGEL | 43.2% | 2.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 10.0% | 10.05 | 11 |
| 3 | 11 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 8.2% | 12.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 7.1% | 14.01 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SILO | 6.9% | 14.57 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | PATCH OF COSMO | 5.0% | 19.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 4.4% | 22.80 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 2.9% | 34.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | BUNDLE AWARD | 2.6% | 38.64 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.6% | 38.97 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | BUCEPHALAS | 2.5% | 39.80 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | CHARMING BABE | 2.0% | 49.18 | 7 |
| 13 | 1 | KEEFY | 2.0% | 49.50 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | EQUATORIAL | 0.6% | 160.17 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 20
PLACE
2 20.5
5 41
13 11
QUINELLA
2,13 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 162.5
2,13 32.5
5,13 76
FORECAST
13,2 96
TIERCE
13,2,5 1,051
TRIO
2,5,13 401
FIRST 4
2,5,11,13 614
QUARTET
13,2,5,11 7,160
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
7/2/2 371
7/2/13 917
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,5,13 57,399
9TH DOUBLE
2/2 113.5
2/13 282
SIX UP
6/1/3/7/2/13 2,893,001
6,12/1,4/3,6/4,7/2,10/2,13 10,474
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —