Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly TT 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 6 2.0 3/4
2 2 KAHOLO ANGEL Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 7.8 3/4
3 5 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size 1 16.0 1-1/4
4 11 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB1 A Atzeni · D Eustace 11 11.0 1-3/4
5 7 LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting 13 11.0 2
6 6 KING OF FIGHTERS Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz 8 35.0 2
7 14 CHARMING BABE H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 3 134.0 3-1/4
8 10 BUCEPHALAS Led early H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 4 130.0 3-1/4
9 4 EQUATORIAL Closed strongly H/SR/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 2 144.0 3-1/2
10 3 SILO Closed strongly CP H Bowman · M Newnham 12 12.0 3-1/2
11 8 NEW FUTURE FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang 5 7.6 3-3/4
12 12 PATCH OF COSMO B L Ferraris · K L Man 10 19.0 4-1/4
13 9 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT A Pouchin · D A Hayes 14 41.0 4-1/2
14 1 KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor 9 64.0 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 3 over 1400m. PACKING ANGEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and BUNDLE AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PACKING ANGEL—2. KAHOLO ANGEL+0.75L3. BUNDLE AWARD+1.25L4. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+1.75L5. LO PAN SPIRIT+2L6. KING OF FIGHTERS+2L7. CHARMING BABE+3.25L8. BUCEPHALAS+3.25L9. EQUATORIAL+3.5L10. SILO+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING ANGEL (43.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 PACKING ANGEL 43.2% 2.31 1
2 8 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 10.0% 10.05 11
3 11 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 8.2% 12.19 4
4 2 KAHOLO ANGEL 7.1% 14.01 2
5 3 SILO 6.9% 14.57 10
6 12 PATCH OF COSMO 5.0% 19.94 12
7 7 LO PAN SPIRIT 4.4% 22.80 5
8 6 KING OF FIGHTERS 2.9% 34.46 6
9 5 BUNDLE AWARD 2.6% 38.64 3
10 9 STELLAR SWIFT 2.6% 38.97 13
11 10 BUCEPHALAS 2.5% 39.80 8
12 14 CHARMING BABE 2.0% 49.18 7
13 1 KEEFY 2.0% 49.50 14
14 4 EQUATORIAL 0.6% 160.17 9
PACKING ANGEL — wonNEW FUTURE FOLKSLIGHT YEARS CHARMKAHOLO ANGELSILOPATCH OF COSMOLO PAN SPIRITKING OF FIGHTERSBUNDLE AWARDSTELLAR SWIFTBUCEPHALASCHARMING BABEKEEFYEQUATORIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 20

PLACE

2 20.5

5 41

13 11

QUINELLA

2,13 79.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 162.5

2,13 32.5

5,13 76

FORECAST

13,2 96

TIERCE

13,2,5 1,051

TRIO

2,5,13 401

FIRST 4

2,5,11,13 614

QUARTET

13,2,5,11 7,160

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

7/2/2 371

7/2/13 917

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/2,5,13 57,399

9TH DOUBLE

2/2 113.5

2/13 282

SIX UP

6/1/3/7/2/13 2,893,001

6,12/1,4/3,6/4,7/2,10/2,13 10,474

1 [Z Purton] —

1 [J Size] —