Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 5 over 1200m. COUNTRY DANCER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with STERLING WONGCHOY second and SILVER DESTINY third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER E 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 3.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 7 | STERLING WONGCHOY CP-/XB/B1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | SILVER DESTINY TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | HOSS B/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING TURN PC/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 8 | 125.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B2/TT P N Wong · D Eustace | P N Wong | D Eustace | 4 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP CP-/V1/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | MIU FA FA TT- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 6.4 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 11 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY V- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | OMAKASE H K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 23.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | FLYING ROMANTIC H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SILVER DESTINY | 23.7% | 4.22 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER | 20.1% | 4.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 16.3% | 6.13 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SAME TO YOU | 9.0% | 11.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 8.0% | 12.48 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | HOSS | 4.8% | 21.02 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 4.2% | 24.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 4.0% | 25.18 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | MIU FA FA | 3.9% | 25.68 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 2.5% | 40.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | OMAKASE | 2.2% | 45.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING TURN | 1.4% | 71.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 31
PLACE
1 14
3 17
7 37
QUINELLA
1,7 317
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 28
1,7 98.5
3,7 110.5
FORECAST
1,7 417
TIERCE
1,7,3 1,550
TRIO
1,3,7 285
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 806
QUARTET
1,7,3,8 15,864