Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 06:40
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with KING OBERON second and LOVING VIBES third. The 2.3 favourite KA YING RADIANCE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HONG LOK GOLF TT 1.09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 9 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | KING OBERON B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | LOVING VIBES H- K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NEW POWER B-/H B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 11 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | KING PROFIT TT A Pouchin · C S Shum | A Pouchin | C S Shum | 4 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | MOTOMAN CP1/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 6 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ELEGANT LIFE CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 8 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER TT1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | VICTORY PATCH CP1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | COLONEL B P N Wong · M Newnham | P N Wong | M Newnham | 12 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | ENSHINE B/H A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 176.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KA YING RADIANCE | 35.6% | 2.81 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | HONG LOK GOLF | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 9.6% | 10.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | KING OBERON | 6.1% | 16.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | ELEGANT LIFE | 5.1% | 19.66 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | NEW POWER | 4.6% | 21.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | KING PROFIT | 4.0% | 24.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | MOTOMAN | 3.4% | 29.33 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | COLONEL | 3.4% | 29.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | VICTORY PATCH | 3.1% | 32.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | LOVING VIBES | 2.3% | 43.80 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | ENSHINE | 1.1% | 93.32 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 45
PLACE
2 17.5
11 52.5
12 26
QUINELLA
2,12 228
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 131
2,12 66
11,12 233
FORECAST
2,12 410
TIERCE
2,12,11 5,607
TRIO
2,11,12 1,167
FIRST 4
2,7,11,12 645
QUARTET
2,12,11,7 19,625
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/2,11,12 34,335
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 73
1/12 33.5