Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 08:10

Race 7

Class 2 1200m Course C+3 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 2 over 1200m. RAGING BLIZZARD, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by N, with GORGEOUS WIN second and COPARTNER PRANCE third. The 1.8 favourite WUNDERBAR finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.08.32

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	3	RAGING BLIZZARD P 1.08.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size	H Bowman	J Size	5	131 lb	6.0	N
2	6	GORGEOUS WIN TT B Avdulla · C S Shum	B Avdulla	C S Shum	1	122 lb	6.9	N
3	1	COPARTNER PRANCE XB A Pouchin · K W Lui	A Pouchin	K W Lui	6	135 lb	27.0	1/2
4	9	SWIFT ASCEND B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace	A Atzeni	D Eustace	3	117 lb	5.5	1/2
5	4	WUNDERBAR Z Purton · J Size	Z Purton	J Size	2	131 lb	1.8	2-1/4
6	7	FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham	L Hewitson	M Newnham	9	121 lb	13.0	3-1/4
7	2	FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall	M F Poon	D J Hall	4	135 lb	41.0	5-1/2
8	5	SON PAK FU B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz	Y L Chung	A S Cruz	8	125 lb	70.0	5-1/2
9	8	JAMES TAK CP/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung	M Chadwick	T P Yung	7	117 lb	33.0	8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick WUNDERBAR (39.7%) finished 5th — the winner RAGING BLIZZARD was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	4	WUNDERBAR	39.7%	2.52	5	1.8
2	9	SWIFT ASCEND	32.8%	3.05	4	5.5
3	7	FULL CREDIT	8.3%	11.99	6	13.0
4	3	RAGING BLIZZARD	5.9%	16.96	1	6.0
5	6	GORGEOUS WIN	5.7%	17.58	2	6.9
6	2	FLYING ACE	2.2%	45.22	7	41.0
7	1	COPARTNER PRANCE	2.2%	45.65	3	27.0
8	8	JAMES TAK	1.9%	52.80	9	33.0
9	5	SON PAK FU	1.3%	77.47	8	70.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 60

PLACE

1 65.5

3 17

6 18

QUINELLA

3,6 173.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 232.5

1,6 272.5

3,6 44.5

FORECAST

3,6 322

TIERCE

3,6,1 5,224

TRIO

1,3,6 1,307

FIRST 4

1,3,6,9 674

QUARTET

3,6,1,9 18,003

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/3 738

1/6 242

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