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Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 06:05

Race 3

Class 2 1650m 8 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 2 over 1650m. SWORD POINT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with CAPITAL DELIGHT second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.38.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP 1.38.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 5 2.0 1-1/4
2 3 CAPITAL DELIGHT Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C Fownes 6 8.0 1-1/4
3 4 BUNDLE OF CHARM Closed strongly P2 B Thompson · J Size 4 12.0 1-1/4
4 8 YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 18.0 1-1/2
5 2 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 8 13.0 2
6 5 CALL ME GLORIOUS Led early M Chadwick · K W Lui 2 5.6 2-1/2
7 7 TURIN MASCOT PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 1 7.0 3-1/4
8 6 TELECOM FIGHTERS K De Melo · Y S Tsui 3 16.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SWORD POINT—2. CAPITAL DELIGHT+1.25L3. BUNDLE OF CHARM+1.25L4. YELLOWFIN+1.5L5. MR ASCENDENCY+2L6. CALL ME GLORIOUS+2.5L7. TURIN MASCOT+3.25L8. TELECOM FIGHTERS+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SWORD POINT (22.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SWORD POINT 22.6% 4.42 1
2 7 TURIN MASCOT 21.9% 4.56 7
3 2 MR ASCENDENCY 13.5% 7.40 5
4 5 CALL ME GLORIOUS 12.2% 8.23 6
5 8 YELLOWFIN 12.1% 8.23 4
6 3 CAPITAL DELIGHT 7.4% 13.48 2
7 4 BUNDLE OF CHARM 5.8% 17.38 3
8 6 TELECOM FIGHTERS 4.4% 22.50 8
SWORD POINT — wonTURIN MASCOTMR ASCENDENCYCALL ME GLORIOUSYELLOWFINCAPITAL DELIGHTBUNDLE OF CHARMTELECOM FIGHTERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 20

PLACE

1 10.1

3 19

4 36.5

QUINELLA

1,3 107

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 45.5

1,4 55

3,4 115.5

FORECAST

1,3 159

TIERCE

1,3,4 1,239

TRIO

1,3,4 368

FIRST 4

1,3,4,8 814

QUARTET

1,3,4,8 9,333

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

6/1 65.5

6/3 92.5

← Race 2 Race 4 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1650m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99