Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP 1.38.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 6 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM Closed strongly P2 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | CALL ME GLORIOUS Led early M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 2 over 1650m. SWORD POINT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with CAPITAL DELIGHT second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWORD POINT | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT | 21.9% | 4.56 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY | 13.5% | 7.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 12.2% | 8.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | YELLOWFIN | 12.1% | 8.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 7.4% | 13.48 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 5.8% | 17.38 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.4% | 22.50 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 20
PLACE
1 10.1
3 19
4 36.5
QUINELLA
1,3 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 45.5
1,4 55
3,4 115.5
FORECAST
1,3 159
TIERCE
1,3,4 1,239
TRIO
1,3,4 368
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 814
QUARTET
1,3,4,8 9,333
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 65.5
6/3 92.5