Sha Tin · 2025-01-05 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. SUPER LEGENDS, ridden by H T Mo and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with PAKISTAN LEGACY second and AERIS NOVA third. The 2.6 favourite PAKISTAN LEGACY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER LEGENDS B/TT 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 1 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | PAKISTAN LEGACY TT1 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | AERIS NOVA B/XB/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 6 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL H-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 192.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL XB-/B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE V A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SWAGGER BRO M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | VON BAER B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | SILK ROAD GLORY B1/TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 69.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CONSPIRATOR XB1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 8.7 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER LEGENDS | 29.9% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | PAKISTAN LEGACY | 26.4% | 3.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 11.5% | 8.66 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 9.0% | 11.15 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | CONSPIRATOR | 4.2% | 23.73 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | SWAGGER BRO | 3.5% | 28.92 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | SILK ROAD GLORY | 3.4% | 29.44 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 3.3% | 30.60 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.0% | 33.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | AERIS NOVA | 2.7% | 37.44 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | VON BAER | 2.1% | 48.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 1.1% | 87.43 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 33.5
PLACE
2 51
4 14.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
4,7 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 98.5
2,7 105.5
4,7 24.5
FORECAST
7,4 121
TIERCE
7,4,2 1,346
TRIO
2,4,7 311
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 6,070
QUARTET
7,4,2,3 64,338
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/2,4,7 99,488
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 43
3/7 213