沙田 · 2025-01-05 · 07:40
第 6場
2025-01-05沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米。由A Pouchin策騎、K W Lui訓練的BABY CRYSTAL勝出，贏出2-3/4。RED ELEGANCE獲得亞軍；GOLDEN LUCK獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門KA YING VICTORY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT 0.56.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 14 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 10 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER B-/H2 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 54.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | KA YING VICTORY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | GRAND NOVA E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | AURIO TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | FAST RESPONDER B-/SR2/TT- P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 2 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | HOLMES A COURT TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 9.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CELESTIAL HARMONY Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 3 | 169.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SKY CAP XB1/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 11 | 117.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | MIDORI GLORY PC1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 48.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING VICTORY | 25.1% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GRAND NOVA | 9.2% | 10.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 7.1% | 14.15 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | MIDORI GLORY | 6.7% | 14.94 | 14 |
| 6 | 3 | FLYING HIGH | 6.0% | 16.56 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | AURIO | 5.8% | 17.32 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | DREAM WINNER | 5.6% | 17.99 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | HOLMES A COURT | 4.2% | 23.72 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | GOLDEN LUCK | 4.1% | 24.15 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | FAST RESPONDER | 2.4% | 41.33 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 1.3% | 77.28 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | SKY CAP | 1.3% | 78.97 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 1.0% | 102.31 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 134.5
PLACE
1 34
4 27
14 23
QUINELLA
1,4 546.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 177
1,14 156.5
4,14 117
FORECAST
1,4 1,030
TIERCE
1,4,14 10,713
TRIO
1,4,14 1,664
FIRST 4
1,4,8,14 16,037
QUARTET
1,4,14,8 272,487
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,12/1,4,14 291,957
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 3,170.5
6/4 347.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,11,12/6,7,12/1,4,14 7,973,582
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,11,12/6,7,12/Any Combination 34,256