沙田 · 2025-01-19 · 10:05
第 11場
2025-01-19沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的PRINCE OF PORTY勝出，贏出SH。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；MAJESTIC EXPRESS獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門MEOWTH跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY B-/TT 1.09.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 8.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE B J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 5 | 7.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 6.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | VICTORY SKY XB- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Shinn · J Richards | B Shinn | J Richards | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | AURIO TT C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MEOWTH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TIMES TABLE P B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 7 | 180.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 11 | 99.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 6.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNYVALE K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 145.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | HOLMES A COURT TT A Pouchin · A S Cruz | A Pouchin | A S Cruz | 3 | 72.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 8 | HALO OF SUCCESS A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MEOWTH | 21.6% | 4.63 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 14.8% | 6.77 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 11.9% | 8.43 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON | 11.7% | 8.58 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE | 10.7% | 9.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | FUN ELITE | 7.1% | 14.04 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | VICTORY SKY | 5.6% | 17.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | AURIO | 5.0% | 20.13 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | DREAM WINNER | 4.2% | 23.69 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 4.1% | 24.11 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | HOLMES A COURT | 1.8% | 56.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNYVALE | 0.9% | 112.54 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | TIMES TABLE | 0.7% | 142.84 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 80.5
PLACE
1 22
6 22
9 23
QUINELLA
1,9 302.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 75
1,9 96
6,9 90
FORECAST
9,1 693
TIERCE
9,1,6 3,383
TRIO
1,6,9 593
FIRST 4
1,6,9,13 1,448
QUARTET
9,1,6,13 33,338
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
11/1 127
11/9 1,111.5
2ND TREBLE
4/11/1 345
4/11/9 2,945
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/1,6,9 121,961
SIX UP
1,3/6,12/1,5/3,4/4,11/1,9 8,124
1/12/1/4/11/9 102,092
1 [J Size] —
1 [J McDonald] —