沙田 · 2025-01-19 · 08:45
第 9場
2025-01-19沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米。由J McDonald策騎、J Size訓練的BUNDLE AWARD勝出，贏出N。SKY TRUST獲得亞軍；SOLID IMPACT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE AWARD 後段發力 E 1.21.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SKY TRUST 後段發力 H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT 後段發力 CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | NEW FOREST 早段領放 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING WING 後段發力 TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 13 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON 後段發力 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | KA YING SUPERB H/XB M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SPANISH FLAME 後段發力 A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SEASONS WIT 後段發力 B/TT2 B Shinn · J Richards | B Shinn | J Richards | 10 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | PACKING POWER TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LOST CHILD C Williams · C W Chang | C Williams | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI CP/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 2 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 123.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM B1 A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 6 | 123.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE AWARD | 18.5% | 5.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 15.4% | 6.48 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON | 14.1% | 7.08 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | SKY TRUST | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | KA YING SUPERB | 10.0% | 10.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | LOST CHILD | 7.6% | 13.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | NEW FOREST | 6.9% | 14.53 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING WING | 4.2% | 23.60 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SEASONS WIT | 2.8% | 36.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.2% | 45.92 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 2.1% | 46.63 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | SPANISH FLAME | 1.7% | 60.08 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI | 1.3% | 76.00 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM | 1.1% | 89.09 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 29.5
PLACE
3 18.5
4 14
7 41.5
QUINELLA
3,4 79
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 32.5
3,7 117.5
4,7 86
FORECAST
4,3 133
TIERCE
4,3,7 1,230
TRIO
3,4,7 343
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 740
QUARTET
4,3,7,10 8,570
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/3,4,7 13,200
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 25.5
1/4 45.5