Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 08:45
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 3 over 1400m. BUNDLE AWARD, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won by N, with SKY TRUST second and SOLID IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E 1.21.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | NEW FOREST Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING WING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 13 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | KA YING SUPERB H/XB M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SPANISH FLAME Closed strongly A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SEASONS WIT Closed strongly B/TT2 B Shinn · J Richards | B Shinn | J Richards | 10 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | PACKING POWER TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LOST CHILD C Williams · C W Chang | C Williams | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI CP/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 2 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 123.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM B1 A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 6 | 123.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE AWARD | 18.5% | 5.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 15.4% | 6.48 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON | 14.1% | 7.08 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | SKY TRUST | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | KA YING SUPERB | 10.0% | 10.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | LOST CHILD | 7.6% | 13.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | NEW FOREST | 6.9% | 14.53 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING WING | 4.2% | 23.60 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SEASONS WIT | 2.8% | 36.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.2% | 45.92 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 2.1% | 46.63 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | SPANISH FLAME | 1.7% | 60.08 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI | 1.3% | 76.00 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM | 1.1% | 89.09 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 29.5
PLACE
3 18.5
4 14
7 41.5
QUINELLA
3,4 79
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 32.5
3,7 117.5
4,7 86
FORECAST
4,3 133
TIERCE
4,3,7 1,230
TRIO
3,4,7 343
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 740
QUARTET
4,3,7,10 8,570
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/3,4,7 13,200
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 25.5
1/4 45.5