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Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 16:44

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E 1.21.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size 4 2.9 N
2 3 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 12 5.3 N
3 7 SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall 8 13.0 1-1/4
4 10 NEW FOREST Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 10.0 2-1/4
5 12 WINNING WING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K W Lui 13 17.0 3-1/2
6 9 ROMANTIC SON Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 6.4 4-1/4
7 14 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M Chadwick · W K Mo 11 12.0 4-1/2
8 5 SPANISH FLAME Closed strongly A Atzeni · W Y So 5 49.0 5
9 2 SEASONS WIT Closed strongly B/TT2 B Shinn · J Richards 10 55.0 5
10 1 PACKING POWER TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 9 11.0 5-3/4
11 8 LOST CHILD C Williams · C W Chang 1 17.0 6-1/4
12 13 MIDORI FUJI CP/TT B Thompson · D Eustace 2 56.0 7-1/4
13 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 14 123.0 11-1/2
14 11 UP WITH CHARM B1 A Pouchin · D J Whyte 6 123.0 16-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 3 over 1400m. BUNDLE AWARD, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won by N, with SKY TRUST second and SOLID IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE AWARD—2. SKY TRUST+0.05L3. SOLID IMPACT+1.25L4. NEW FOREST+2.25L5. WINNING WING+3.5L6. ROMANTIC SON+4.25L7. KA YING SUPERB+4.5L8. SPANISH FLAME+5L9. SEASONS WIT+5L10. PACKING POWER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BUNDLE AWARD (18.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 BUNDLE AWARD 18.5% 5.41 1
2 1 PACKING POWER 15.4% 6.48 10
3 9 ROMANTIC SON 14.1% 7.08 6
4 3 SKY TRUST 12.1% 8.26 2
5 14 KA YING SUPERB 10.0% 10.03 7
6 8 LOST CHILD 7.6% 13.15 11
7 10 NEW FOREST 6.9% 14.53 4
8 12 WINNING WING 4.2% 23.60 5
9 2 SEASONS WIT 2.8% 36.35 9
10 7 SOLID IMPACT 2.2% 45.92 3
11 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 2.1% 46.63 13
12 5 SPANISH FLAME 1.7% 60.08 8
13 13 MIDORI FUJI 1.3% 76.00 12
14 11 UP WITH CHARM 1.1% 89.09 14
BUNDLE AWARD — wonPACKING POWERROMANTIC SONSKY TRUSTKA YING SUPERBLOST CHILDNEW FORESTWINNING WINGSEASONS WITSOLID IMPACTEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSSPANISH FLAMEMIDORI FUJIUP WITH CHARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 29.5

PLACE

3 18.5

4 14

7 41.5

QUINELLA

3,4 79

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 32.5

3,7 117.5

4,7 86

FORECAST

4,3 133

TIERCE

4,3,7 1,230

TRIO

3,4,7 343

FIRST 4

3,4,7,10 740

QUARTET

4,3,7,10 8,570

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/3,4,7 13,200

8TH DOUBLE

1/3 25.5

1/4 45.5