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Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 16:08

Race 8

Group 1 1600m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.33.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu 4 1.8 2
2 5 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B Shinn · P C Ng 3 3.2 2
3 7 RED LION Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 5 87.0 3
4 4 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 7 44.0 4
5 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL E Z Purton · J Size 8 14.0 4
6 6 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 23.0 4-1/4
7 8 PATCH OF THETA XB K Teetan · K W Lui 1 6.0 4-3/4
8 2 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 30.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Group 1 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with GALAXY PATCH second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VOYAGE BUBBLE—2. GALAXY PATCH+2L3. RED LION+3L4. BEAUTY JOY+4L5. BEAUTY ETERNAL+4L6. CHANCHENG GLORY+4.25L7. PATCH OF THETA+4.75L8. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE+16.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick VOYAGE BUBBLE (39.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE 39.2% 2.55 1
2 5 GALAXY PATCH 21.3% 4.70 2
3 8 PATCH OF THETA 11.0% 9.11 7
4 6 CHANCHENG GLORY 10.3% 9.75 6
5 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 7.5% 13.33 5
6 7 RED LION 4.6% 21.88 3
7 2 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE 3.7% 27.22 8
8 4 BEAUTY JOY 2.5% 39.56 4
VOYAGE BUBBLE — wonGALAXY PATCHPATCH OF THETACHANCHENG GLORYBEAUTY ETERNALRED LIONCALIFORNIA SPANGLEBEAUTY JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 10.5

5 11.5

7 102.5

QUINELLA

1,5 25.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 15

1,7 168.5

5,7 217.5

FORECAST

1,5 35

TIERCE

1,5,7 760

TRIO

1,5,7 281

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 966

QUARTET

1,5,7,4 5,589

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

12/1 324.5

12/5 83.5