Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 08:10
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Group 1 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with GALAXY PATCH second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.33.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 3 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | RED LION Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 87.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 7 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 30.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 39.2% | 2.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 11.0% | 9.11 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 10.3% | 9.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 7.5% | 13.33 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | RED LION | 4.6% | 21.88 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 3.7% | 27.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.5% | 39.56 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 18
PLACE
1 10.5
5 11.5
7 102.5
QUINELLA
1,5 25.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 15
1,7 168.5
5,7 217.5
FORECAST
1,5 35
TIERCE
1,5,7 760
TRIO
1,5,7 281
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 966
QUARTET
1,5,7,4 5,589
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
12/1 324.5
12/5 83.5