Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT 1.21.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · W K Mo | C Williams | W K Mo | 7 | 9.3 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 3.3 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 11 | PATCH OF STARS Closed strongly B-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | EURO ROCKS B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | LESLIE Closed strongly B J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 14 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 13 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MR JUSTICE CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 162.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 3 | 55.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | WORLD HERO Led early CP A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 10 | 41.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 12 | 14.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 4 over 1400m. FORERUNNER, ridden by C Williams and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with BRILLIANT EXPRESS second and ETALON OR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 17.2% | 5.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER | 15.0% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ETALON OR | 11.2% | 8.90 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | EURO ROCKS | 7.7% | 12.94 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | FORERUNNER | 7.0% | 14.24 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SECOND TO NONE | 6.5% | 15.29 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | LESLIE | 6.4% | 15.70 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | PATCH OF STARS | 6.3% | 15.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 5.3% | 18.95 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN | 4.3% | 23.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | TOP TIME | 4.2% | 23.79 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 4.1% | 24.59 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | WORLD HERO | 3.8% | 26.29 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | MR JUSTICE | 1.1% | 90.44 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 93.5
PLACE
5 16.5
6 16.5
10 27
QUINELLA
5,10 163
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 32.5
5,10 56.5
6,10 71
FORECAST
10,5 421
TIERCE
10,5,6 1,628
TRIO
5,6,10 210
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 945
QUARTET
10,5,6,11 29,197
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/5 223
8/10 3,240.5