Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 14:31
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MR ENERGIA Closed strongly B 1.21.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 5.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 31.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | GALVANIC Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | PATCH OF TIME H K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 4 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GALE SAGA B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 13 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS XB-/CP2/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 69.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY IMPACT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | NOBLE FANS H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 5.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | JOLLY RULER TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 12 | 3.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR H A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 3 | 77.0 | 20-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SHAMUS STORM A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 4 over 1400m. MR ENERGIA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with BEAUTY GLORY second and GALVANIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JOLLY RULER finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NOBLE FANS | 23.3% | 4.29 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | MR ENERGIA | 15.2% | 6.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 12.6% | 7.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | JOLLY RULER | 12.0% | 8.34 | 13 |
| 5 | 5 | PATCH OF TIME | 5.7% | 17.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 5.7% | 17.52 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 5.5% | 18.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | GALVANIC | 4.4% | 22.90 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | GALE SAGA | 3.7% | 26.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 3.4% | 29.27 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY IMPACT | 3.2% | 31.32 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS | 2.4% | 41.00 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 1.9% | 51.92 | 5 |
| 14 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 0.9% | 117.53 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 50
PLACE
1 81.5
3 35.5
4 19
QUINELLA
1,4 1,061.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 442
1,4 340
3,4 123.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,601
TIERCE
4,1,3 15,228
TRIO
1,3,4 2,675
FIRST 4
1,3,4,9 5,643
QUARTET
4,1,3,9 115,350
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/10/1 15,359
8/10/4 18,400
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,10/1,3,4 115,228
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 339
10/4 757