Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 07:05
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Group 1 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3-1/4, with HELIOS EXPRESS second and HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE third. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.07.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 1.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 3 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 72.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MAGIC CONTROL TT C Williams · W K Mo | C Williams | W K Mo | 4 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 2 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER CP-/XB1/TT K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 1 | 34.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 46.8% | 2.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 14.2% | 7.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | MAGIC CONTROL | 11.0% | 9.09 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 2.7% | 37.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 2.3% | 43.79 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.7% | 57.63 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 11.5
PLACE
1 10.1
3 12
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 19.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 13.5
1,4 19.5
3,4 32
FORECAST
1,3 19
TIERCE
1,3,4 59
TRIO
1,3,4 34
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 189
QUARTET
1,3,4,5 600
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 81
4/3 69