Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 17:18
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly TT 2.00.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 3 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WINNING DRAGON TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 30.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 9 | 8.2 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly CP1/TT- Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 108.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly SR/V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NAVAL FORCE TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 7 | 93.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | SAMARKAND Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NOBLE PURSUIT TT C Williams · C Fownes | C Williams | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CAMBRIDGE SR1 B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 1 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | ROMANTIC THOR CP-/XB/B1/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 14 | 9.7 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | NATURAL STORM V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 52.0 | 29 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 2 over 2000m. NOISY BOY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with WINNING DRAGON second and STUNNING PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite MICKLEY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MICKLEY | 22.2% | 4.51 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | BRAVEHEARTS | 18.4% | 5.45 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | STUNNING PEACH | 16.9% | 5.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC THOR | 8.6% | 11.69 | 13 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 7.3% | 13.64 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | NOISY BOY | 6.1% | 16.50 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.80 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | SAMARKAND | 3.1% | 32.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | NAVAL FORCE | 2.9% | 35.01 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SENOR TOBA | 2.7% | 36.40 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | CAMBRIDGE | 2.7% | 36.55 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPREME AGILITY | 2.0% | 49.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.7% | 57.63 | 9 |
| 14 | 9 | NATURAL STORM | 1.7% | 57.92 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 68
PLACE
2 18.5
4 62
11 24
QUINELLA
4,11 808.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 175
2,11 62
4,11 230.5
FORECAST
11,4 1,417
TIERCE
11,4,2 8,401
TRIO
2,4,11 1,072
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 924
QUARTET
11,4,2,3 33,093
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 122.5
4/11 423.5