Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 04:35
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 4 over 1200m. BLAZING WIND, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with TOP DRAGON second and TACTICAL COMMAND third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BLAZING WIND TT 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 8 | TOP DRAGON H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT C Williams · W K Mo | C Williams | W K Mo | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | FUN N GLORY CP/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS CP/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 9 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 5.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEEPMEEP B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | MUSANG KING B1 C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 10 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 13 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | DASHING DRAGON B1 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 92.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | ALL EYES ON ME B1 Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 14 | 198.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | FIT BEAUTY B1/E1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 35.0 | 9 |
| — | 4 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BLAZING WIND | 43.9% | 2.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS | 11.6% | 8.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | FIT BEAUTY | 6.4% | 15.75 | 13 |
| 4 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.92 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | MEEPMEEP | 6.1% | 16.47 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 5.4% | 18.50 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | MUSANG KING | 5.2% | 19.32 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | FUN N GLORY | 4.5% | 22.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 3.6% | 27.84 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 2.8% | 35.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | TOP DRAGON | 2.4% | 41.11 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | DASHING DRAGON | 1.1% | 93.79 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | ALL EYES ON ME | 0.8% | 123.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 27.5
PLACE
2 14.5
8 60
12 60
QUINELLA
2,8 391.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 134
2,12 127
8,12 664.5
FORECAST
2,8 465
TIERCE
2,8,12 5,632
TRIO
2,8,12 2,015
FIRST 4
2,8,12,14 4,953
QUARTET
2,8,12,14 63,574