Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 05:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 4 over 1200m. SKY JOY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with BIENVENUE second and QUICK CONTRIBUTION third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY JOY 1.09.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 4 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | BIENVENUE B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE CP-/PC2 A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | RAGING RAPIDS TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 39.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | WITH A SMILE TT1 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | LOVING VIBES K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | FLASH CURRENT TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 58.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | SPICY STANDARD B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | VICTORY PATCH CP-/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 12 | 209.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | CHILL MASTER TT A Pouchin · K L Man | A Pouchin | K L Man | 2 | 173.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON PC H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 14 | 195.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | NOBLE GO XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 115.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY JOY | 24.0% | 4.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | WITH A SMILE | 18.5% | 5.39 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | SPICY STANDARD | 7.1% | 14.08 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 7.1% | 14.18 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | LOVING VIBES | 7.0% | 14.28 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | SUNNY DARLING | 6.8% | 14.75 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | BIENVENUE | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | RAGING RAPIDS | 5.8% | 17.19 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 5.2% | 19.24 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | NOBLE GO | 5.1% | 19.74 | 14 |
| 11 | 5 | FLASH CURRENT | 4.1% | 24.17 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | VICTORY PATCH | 1.2% | 85.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 0.8% | 119.10 | 13 |
| 14 | 4 | CHILL MASTER | 0.5% | 202.55 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 18
PLACE
1 11
7 42.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
1,12 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 58.5
1,12 29.5
7,12 156
FORECAST
1,12 99
TIERCE
1,12,7 732
TRIO
1,7,12 287
FIRST 4
1,3,7,12 425
QUARTET
1,12,7,3 4,035
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2,4/1 52
2,4/12 35