Sha Tin · 2025-01-19 · 15:37
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B 1.21.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 60.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 1 | 1.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP-/B1 J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly B/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 10 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Williams · W K Mo | C Williams | W K Mo | 3 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SUPERB BOY Led early B1/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | NAMJONG KINGDOM Closed strongly TT- B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 66.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | THUNDER BLINK H/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 72.0 | 5 |
| 14 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS V/TT B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 4 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-19 was Class 3 over 1400m. PATCH OF COSMO, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with RISING FROM ASHES second and LIGHT YEARS CHARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite LIGHT YEARS CHARM finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 12.8% | 7.82 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 10.2% | 9.79 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 8.4% | 11.97 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 7.8% | 12.79 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 6.7% | 14.93 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | PATCH OF COSMO | 6.1% | 16.28 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.9% | 25.54 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 3.5% | 28.88 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPERB BOY | 2.9% | 34.80 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | THUNDER BLINK | 2.4% | 41.97 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.2% | 45.13 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | WINNING GOLD | 2.1% | 47.74 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 1.9% | 51.70 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 165.5
PLACE
6 135.5
9 10.1
12 34
QUINELLA
6,12 5,357
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 260
6,12 1,466
9,12 40
FORECAST
12,6 8,375
TIERCE
12,6,9 34,234
TRIO
6,9,12 2,280
FIRST 4
6,8,9,12 14,639
QUARTET
12,6,9,8 584,726
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/6,9,12 10,267
6TH DOUBLE
1/6 86
1/12 181
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,3,4/6,9,12 2,061,460
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,4/1,3,4/Any Combination 1,951