沙田 · 2025-01-19 · 05:35
第 3場
2025-01-19沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1600米。由A Atzeni策騎、K L Man訓練的GOLD MASTER勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUNDAY'S SERENADE獲得亞軍；MIGHTY STRENGTH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門FLYING LUCK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLD MASTER 後段發力 B 1.34.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 7 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 9 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH 後段發力 XB-/B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MISTER DAPPER 後段發力 V-/XB/B2/TT1 A Pouchin · D Eustace | A Pouchin | D Eustace | 5 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING LUCK 後段發力 B/H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 2.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | BALLISTIC WIN CP/H B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CHATER GOLD CP C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 78.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR B J McDonald · K W Lui | J McDonald | K W Lui | 12 | 5.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 54.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 100.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM RUNNER B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 85.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 14 | 53.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING LUCK | 17.7% | 5.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR | 16.4% | 6.09 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | CHATER GOLD | 11.5% | 8.73 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 11.2% | 8.96 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 5.9% | 16.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MISTER DAPPER | 5.8% | 17.32 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | BALLISTIC WIN | 5.7% | 17.69 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION | 5.6% | 17.85 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 5.2% | 19.31 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.0% | 24.95 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLD MASTER | 3.7% | 26.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | STORM RUNNER | 3.4% | 29.59 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.1% | 46.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING | 1.9% | 52.17 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 231
PLACE
6 67
8 56
13 32.5
QUINELLA
8,13 888.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 586.5
6,13 397
8,13 251.5
FORECAST
8,13 2,071
TIERCE
8,13,6 45,717
TRIO
6,8,13 6,623
FIRST 4
6,8,12,13 17,499
QUARTET
8,13,6,12 528,294
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/6,8,13 270,331
2ND DOUBLE
1/8 665.5
1/13 43.5