沙田 · 2025-02-12 · 13:25
第 6場
2025-02-12沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米。由L Ferraris策騎、D A Hayes訓練的PRECISION GOAL勝出，贏出1。LUCKY TOUCH獲得亞軍；SKY VINO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.2倍大熱門LUCKY TOUCH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL 一路領先 TT 1.40.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 13 | 7.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY TOUCH 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 4 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY VINO H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ESCAPE ROUTE 後段發力 H/P1 M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 12 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | BRAVE WITNESS 後段發力 CP-/P1/XB1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 14 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE B E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 2 | 9.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND 後段發力 V/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 70.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | VIVA HUNTER TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 7.8 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 H/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 7 | 32.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 28.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY KING 後段發力 B1/TT1 A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 11 | 63.0 | 23 |
| 12 | 5 | ROMAN CROWN B B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 6 | 18.0 | 28-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | HEALTHY GOLF XB K De Melo · M Newnham | K De Melo | M Newnham | 9 | 105.0 | 41 |
| 14 | 4 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V P N Wong · F C Lor | P N Wong | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 45 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY VINO | 14.7% | 6.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY TOUCH | 13.2% | 7.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL | 11.4% | 8.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | VIVA HUNTER | 11.1% | 8.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 8.3% | 12.02 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | BRAVE WITNESS | 7.7% | 12.92 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 7.2% | 13.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | NINJA DERBY | 6.5% | 15.48 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | ROMAN CROWN | 5.7% | 17.44 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | MASSIVE ACTION | 4.2% | 23.54 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 4.2% | 23.96 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY KING | 3.1% | 31.92 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 1.8% | 56.32 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.8% | 131.28 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 78.5
PLACE
1 15
8 20
12 23.5
QUINELLA
1,12 136
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 36.5
1,12 56
8,12 81
FORECAST
12,1 332
TIERCE
12,1,8 1,127
TRIO
1,8,12 136
FIRST 4
1,8,9,12 1,080
QUARTET
12,1,8,9 24,754
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 19.5
6/12 229