沙田 · 2025-02-12 · 15:10
第 9場
2025-02-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1650米。由H T Mo策騎、F C Lor訓練的NEVER PETER OUT勝出，贏出1/2。FIGHTING MACHINE獲得亞軍；NEW FOREST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門GLORIOUS SUCCESS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | NEVER PETER OUT 後段發力 V/TT 1.41.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 6 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR/V B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 14 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | NEW FOREST B1 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB/P1 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 8 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 PC-/B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 13 | 4.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | BEATO 後段發力 V/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | FRANTANCK TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | YELLOWFIN 早段領放 XB P N Wong · K W Lui | P N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 1 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | ARIEL B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 24.0 | 21-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | KOLACHI XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 103.0 | 47-3/4 |
| — | 5 | M UNICORN L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NEW FOREST | 13.4% | 7.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 12.9% | 7.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | NEVER PETER OUT | 12.1% | 8.24 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | YELLOWFIN | 11.3% | 8.82 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT | 8.1% | 12.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY | 7.2% | 13.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 6.4% | 15.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | ARIEL | 6.3% | 15.78 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | ENDEARED | 6.3% | 15.97 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 5.6% | 17.74 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | BEATO | 5.2% | 19.14 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | KOLACHI | 2.6% | 39.03 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | FRANTANCK | 2.5% | 40.23 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 64
PLACE
6 47
11 19.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
6,13 488
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 151.5
6,13 148
11,13 66.5
FORECAST
13,6 863
TIERCE
13,6,11 9,755
TRIO
6,11,13 938
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 1,519
QUARTET
13,6,11,10 42,886
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/10/6 1,688
5/10/13 4,813
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10,12/6,11,13 22,396
8TH DOUBLE
10/6 194
10/13 387
SIX UP
9,14/6,7/1,12/4,5/10,12/6,13 2,565
14/6/12/5/10/13 1,582,837
4 [K Teetan] —
1 [C Fownes] —