沙田 · 2025-02-12 · 11:50
第 3場
2025-02-12沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bentley策騎、C Fownes訓練的DAILY TROPHY勝出，贏出1-3/4。GIMME FIVE獲得亞軍；HINOKAMI KAGURA獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門HINOKAMI KAGURA跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT 1.10.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA TT- M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | NATURAL HIGH B P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 7 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 9 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | YEAH BUDDY CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 4.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | LEAN MASTER B-/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | ALL EYES ON ME B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 12 | 125.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HE WAS YOU CP-/B1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.2 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 99.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE PC1/TT1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 29.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NATURAL HIGH | 16.8% | 5.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY DARLING | 16.0% | 6.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | GIMME FIVE | 10.7% | 9.36 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | HE WAS YOU | 9.4% | 10.60 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | DAILY TROPHY | 8.8% | 11.43 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | YEAH BUDDY | 8.7% | 11.56 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | JOLLY COMPANION | 4.9% | 20.59 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | LEAN MASTER | 4.8% | 20.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE | 3.3% | 30.15 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.9% | 53.81 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.0% | 104.70 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 125.5
PLACE
9 18
11 33.5
12 23.5
QUINELLA
11,12 331.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 96.5
9,12 57.5
11,12 104
FORECAST
11,12 892
TIERCE
11,12,9 4,119
TRIO
9,11,12 564
FIRST 4
4,9,11,12 807
QUARTET
11,12,9,4 24,468
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/9,11,12 35,392
2ND DOUBLE
10/11 988.5
10/12 99