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Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 11:50

Race 3

Class 4 1200m 12 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. DAILY TROPHY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with GIMME FIVE second and HINOKAMI KAGURA third. The 4.5 favourite HINOKAMI KAGURA finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.10.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 DAILY TROPHY B/TT 1.10.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes 5 12.0 1-3/4
2 12 GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor 2 6.2 1-3/4
3 9 HINOKAMI KAGURA TT- M Chadwick · W Y So 6 4.5 3
4 4 NATURAL HIGH B P N Wong · D J Hall 7 7.0 3-1/2
5 3 JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT A Atzeni · K L Man 9 13.0 5
6 10 YEAH BUDDY CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 1 4.8 5-1/2
7 2 LEAN MASTER B-/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip 10 17.0 6
8 8 ALL EYES ON ME B H T Mo · C W Chang 12 125.0 7
9 1 SUNNY DARLING B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 4 10.0 7-1/4
10 7 HE WAS YOU CP-/B1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 8 8.2 11
11 6 ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes 11 99.0 16-1/4
12 5 NOBLE DELUXE PC1/TT1 H Bowman · J Size 3 29.0 17

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAILY TROPHY2. GIMME FIVE+1.75L3. HINOKAMI KAGURA+3L4. NATURAL HIGH+3.5L5. JOLLY COMPANION+5L6. YEAH BUDDY+5.5L7. LEAN MASTER+6L8. ALL EYES ON ME+7L9. SUNNY DARLING+7.25L10. HE WAS YOU+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick NATURAL HIGH (16.8%) finished 4th — the winner DAILY TROPHY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 NATURAL HIGH 16.8% 5.94 4
2 1 SUNNY DARLING 16.0% 6.24 9
3 9 HINOKAMI KAGURA 13.8% 7.25 3
4 12 GIMME FIVE 10.7% 9.36 2
5 7 HE WAS YOU 9.4% 10.60 10
6 11 DAILY TROPHY 8.8% 11.43 1
7 10 YEAH BUDDY 8.7% 11.56 6
8 3 JOLLY COMPANION 4.9% 20.59 5
9 2 LEAN MASTER 4.8% 20.65 7
10 5 NOBLE DELUXE 3.3% 30.15 12
11 6 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 1.9% 53.81 11
12 8 ALL EYES ON ME 1.0% 104.70 8
NATURAL HIGHSUNNY DARLINGHINOKAMI KAGURAGIMME FIVEHE WAS YOUDAILY TROPHY — wonYEAH BUDDYJOLLY COMPANIONLEAN MASTERNOBLE DELUXEORIENTAL SURPRISEALL EYES ON ME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 125.5

PLACE

9 18

11 33.5

12 23.5

QUINELLA

11,12 331.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 96.5

9,12 57.5

11,12 104

FORECAST

11,12 892

TIERCE

11,12,9 4,119

TRIO

9,11,12 564

FIRST 4

4,9,11,12 807

QUARTET

11,12,9,4 24,468

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,10/9,11,12 35,392

2ND DOUBLE

10/11 988.5

10/12 99