Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 12:50
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. FORTUNE WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by 2-3/4, with VULCANUS second and ROBOT KNIGHT third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FORTUNE WARRIOR H-/XB/P2/TT 1.10.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | VULCANUS A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 11 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BOWSER PC2/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SILVER SPURS CP/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | RIDING HIGH CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | BRILLIANT FIRE H-/XB/CP1/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 5 | 40.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | FUN N GLORY CP-/XB/B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 9.1 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY IMPACT CP1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 9.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BUNTA BABY CP/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 33.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | VULCANUS | 18.8% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING | 9.8% | 10.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 7.9% | 12.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | FUN N GLORY | 7.4% | 13.45 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | BOWSER | 7.2% | 13.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY IMPACT | 6.4% | 15.68 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 5.3% | 18.79 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | RIDING HIGH | 4.9% | 20.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | SILVER SPURS | 4.0% | 24.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | BUNTA BABY | 3.0% | 33.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 1.0% | 96.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 28
PLACE
5 28
6 13
7 22.5
QUINELLA
6,7 97
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 53.5
5,7 109.5
6,7 38
FORECAST
6,7 153
TIERCE
6,7,5 1,122
TRIO
5,6,7 269
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 406
QUARTET
6,7,5,2 6,194
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/14/6 9,962
11/14/7 2,834
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,14/5,6,7 36,710
4TH DOUBLE
14/6 695.5
14/7 200.5