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Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 13:55

Race 7

Class 2 1200m 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 2 over 1200m. CAPITAL DELIGHT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with FULL CREDIT second and SING DRAGON third. The 2.9 favourite SING DRAGON finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 CAPITAL DELIGHT B2/TT 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C Fownes 7 9.2 SH
2 4 FULL CREDIT L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 3.3 SH
3 8 SING DRAGON M Chadwick · M Newnham 6 2.9 1
4 7 BUNDLE OF CHARM P2 B Thompson · J Size 4 7.8 2-3/4
5 3 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 9 20.0 8
6 2 MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bowman · D J Whyte 5 28.0 10-1/4
7 1 FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall 8 26.0 12
8 9 LADY'S CHOICE B P N Wong · C W Chang 1 7.9 12-1/4
9 6 TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 11.0 22-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CAPITAL DELIGHT2. FULL CREDIT+0.1L3. SING DRAGON+1L4. BUNDLE OF CHARM+2.75L5. SUPERB CAPITALIST+8L6. MAJESTIC KNIGHT+10.25L7. FLYING ACE+12L8. LADY'S CHOICE+12.25L9. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+22.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FULL CREDIT (21.8%) finished 2nd — the winner CAPITAL DELIGHT was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 FULL CREDIT 21.8% 4.58 2
2 8 SING DRAGON 14.9% 6.72 3
3 9 LADY'S CHOICE 14.8% 6.76 8
4 2 MAJESTIC KNIGHT 12.6% 7.93 6
5 6 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 10.2% 9.79 9
6 5 CAPITAL DELIGHT 7.8% 12.86 1
7 7 BUNDLE OF CHARM 7.6% 13.17 4
8 1 FLYING ACE 7.2% 13.83 7
9 3 SUPERB CAPITALIST 3.1% 32.44 5
FULL CREDITSING DRAGONLADY'S CHOICEMAJESTIC KNIGHTTOMODACHI KOKOROECAPITAL DELIGHT — wonBUNDLE OF CHARMFLYING ACESUPERB CAPITALIST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 92.5

PLACE

4 12.5

5 25

8 13

QUINELLA

4,5 142.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 49.5

4,8 21

5,8 38

FORECAST

5,4 399

TIERCE

5,4,8 1,011

TRIO

4,5,8 93

FIRST 4

4,5,7,8 111

QUARTET

5,4,8,7 3,855

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,12/4,5,8 1,159

6TH DOUBLE

12/4 33

12/5 572.5

TRIPLE TRIO

5,6,7/1,8,12/4,5,8 14,314

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,6,7/1,8,12/Any Combination 286